Predictions based on nothing more than hunch
- Coakley wins by more than expected.
- Brown runs for Governor this fall and possibly pulls it off.
Then again, I've been waaay
off before. My gut feeling is that there has been way too much loosey goosey polling for me to believe that Brown's surge is deep enough to carry him past 45%. Also, Brown's surge has mobilized the get-out-the-vote for Coakley in a way that Coakley never could have by herself. The turnout will decide this race.
You folks know my preferences, but much more importantly, I urge you to vote on Tuesday regardless of your political persuasion.
As always, the process is ultimately more important than the outcome. It is what defines us as the world's oldest democracy.
Coakley 53%. Brown 45%. Kennedy 2%.